A while ago I mused that the Republican Party could go the way of the Whigs. Conservative columnist Bob Novak has an equally upbeat appraisal of the Republican Party's prospects in the 2008 elections.
"All the stars are aligned against the Republicans in 2008," Bob Novak told the assembled masses at the Americans for Tax Reform's Wednesday meeting, causing a subtle gasp to leak out of the conservative faithful.
Early polling data from PollingReport.com shows the Democrats leading in the generic party preference question by an astounding 16 points, 52-36%. Independents prefer the Democrats by a whopping 20 point margin, 47-27%.
An LA Times poll asked voters about their preferences in the 2008 Presidential race. By a 10-point margin voters said they preferred a Democrat to a Republican:
When all voters were asked whether they would prefer a Republican or Democrat to be elected president in 2008, 49% favored Democrats, compared with 39% favoring the GOP.
It's very early of course and a lot can happen between now and then, but it's very clear that things are not looking good for the Republicans at this point in time. There is no light at the end of the tunnel in Iraq, the economy is slowing and a new slew of corruption scandals is likely to erupt this summer. My prediction: the Republicans haven't hit bottom yet.
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