We've had a good debate with Wizbang Classic author DJ Drummond about whether California could be in play in the 2008 presidential election. As if on cue, Rasmussen is reporting some head-to-head polling data for the presidential candidates in California:
My colleague Steve Crickmore's post earlier today explained how Hillary hasn't been affected by the Norman Hsu scandal. Nor has she been adversely affected by the the MoveOn.org Petraeus or Betray-Us ad despite the howling and moaning of the right-wing blogosphere.
But I can already hear the wingnuts exclaiming that we shouldn't believe the polls. Never mind that the poll averages correctly predicted every last one of the Senate races in 2006. It always amazes me how people can deny the accuracy of polling when it has been so dead accurate in the last few elections. There's a whole science to polling and if you understand it and something about statistics you would never discount the value of polls in predicting election outcomes.
The polls also showed that California voters are opposed to the Republican plan to steal our electoral votes if the impact of the proposition is explained in the polling question. I'll predict right now that proposition will go down by a huge margin (probably 55-45) after the public has been educated about it. It will also help increase turnout among minorities and women who will rightfully feel as though the Republicans are trying to screw them. This could tip the balance in several Congressional districts and help increase the Democrat margin of control in the House.
Note: Wizbang Blue is now closed and our authors have moved on. Paul Hooson can now be found at Wizbang Pop!. Please come see him there!