« Hillary Remains Untarnished by Hsu: Polls | Main | Filibuster-Proof Senate Majority Within Reach for Democrats »

Clinton Trounces Republicans in California Polling

We've had a good debate with Wizbang Classic author DJ Drummond about whether California could be in play in the 2008 presidential election. As if on cue, Rasmussen is reporting some head-to-head polling data for the presidential candidates in California:

Clinton 50%
Giuliani 40%

Clinton 50%
Thompson 39%

Clinton 54%
McCain 35%

Clinton 53%
Romney 31%

My colleague Steve Crickmore's post earlier today explained how Hillary hasn't been affected by the Norman Hsu scandal. Nor has she been adversely affected by the the MoveOn.org Petraeus or Betray-Us ad despite the howling and moaning of the right-wing blogosphere.

But I can already hear the wingnuts exclaiming that we shouldn't believe the polls. Never mind that the poll averages correctly predicted every last one of the Senate races in 2006. It always amazes me how people can deny the accuracy of polling when it has been so dead accurate in the last few elections. There's a whole science to polling and if you understand it and something about statistics you would never discount the value of polls in predicting election outcomes.

The polls also showed that California voters are opposed to the Republican plan to steal our electoral votes if the impact of the proposition is explained in the polling question. I'll predict right now that proposition will go down by a huge margin (probably 55-45) after the public has been educated about it. It will also help increase turnout among minorities and women who will rightfully feel as though the Republicans are trying to screw them. This could tip the balance in several Congressional districts and help increase the Democrat margin of control in the House.


Note: Wizbang Blue is now closed and our authors have moved on. Paul Hooson can now be found at Wizbang Pop!. Please come see him there!

  • Currently 3.4/5
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
Rating: 3.4/5 (5 votes cast)


Comments (2)

superdestroyer:

Of course, the Democrats are in the lead in California. Any state where Whites are less than 50% of the voters offers no choice for the Republicans to win. The real question is what will politics be like in the U.S. when the entire U.S. has the same demographics as California currently has? How will the U.S. function as a one party state? How wins and loses in such an arrangement. Juding by the exodus of middle class whites and blacks from California, it is easy to see who are the losers.

ravenshrike:

It always amazes me how people can deny the accuracy of polling when it has been so dead accurate in the last few elections. There's a whole science to polling and if you understand it and something about statistics you would never discount the value of polls in predicting election outcomes.

*sighs* Item #1, any polls taken this far before the elections are meaningless long term. Or else John Kerry never would have made democratic candidate and Howard Dean would probably be the current president.(It's truly ironic that the dems fielded the only candidate that had nothing other than the fact that he was Not Bush going for him) Item #2 ,polls tend to reflect reality, yes, but it is strictly that, a tendency, which statistically means that there will always be exceptions.


Advertisments

Categories

Archives

Technorati



Add to Technorati Favorites

Credits

Publisher: Kevin Aylward

Editors: Lee Ward, Larkin, Paul S Hooson, and Steve Crickmore

All original content copyright © 2007 by Wizbang®, LLC. All rights reserved. Wizbang® is a registered service mark. Wizbang Blue™ is a trademark of Wizbang®, LLC.

Powered by Movable Type 3.35

Hosting by ServInt

Ratings on this site are powered by the Ajax Ratings Pro plugin for Movable Type.

Search on this site is powered by the FastSearch plugin for Movable Type.

Blogrolls on this site are powered by the MT-Blogroll.

Temporary site design is based on Cutline and Cutline for MT. Graphics by Apothegm Designs.