The Republican Party seems to have conspired against itself to make every attempt to lose the 2008 election possible. Nothing that the Democrats could have planned to counter the Republicans can match their own self-defeating plans for 2008. Here's the details:
The Republican Party could rally behind an electable moderate-conservative like Rudolph Giuliani and win the election with a moderate like this similar with the appeal of Dwight Eisenhower, Richard Nixon or Gerald Ford, but likely party conservatives will tilt the primary victories to the wholly unqualified TV bit-actor Fred Thompson, solely because he is seen as the most conservative of the main candidates. Even James Dobson and Donald Trump consider Thompson to be an embarrassment to the party.
The continued race-baiting antics of the Republican Party conservatives on the immigration issue will only mean one of the lowest vote totals for GOP candidates in years by Latin Americans. Many formerly Red states may come into play in 2008 for this reason, and many Blue states may become more solidly Blue as well. This could save the Democratic nominee expensive funds to nail down close Blue states and spend more on possible wins in former Red states.
Christian voter strength for Republicans has likely badly eroded for 2008 because of the continued corruption antics by figures like Larry Craig as well as the multiple marriages of many GOP hopefuls in the presidential race. Any "family values" standard for the GOP has eroded under the conduct and lifestyles of some leading GOP figures.
Only 19% of Republican Party voters seemed satisfied with their choices of presidential candidates so far, leading to a weak and demoralized party. Even political contributions are in a serious slump as well. Republican phone banks struggle with a shrinking pool of aging and demoralized voters to tap for funds.
Many GOP lawmakers have turned down every invitation to speak to labor audiences, and now in 2008 find themselves in a poor position to compete for the votes by working Americans. In Oregon, Senator Gordon Smith only recently accepted an invitation by a labor audience to speak, but is facing a possible tough re-election despite a relatively moderate and positive voting record.
But the biggest 800lb. gorilla will be the Iraq War issue and the George Bush legacy in 2008. Both of these big issues will be virtually impossible for the Republican Party to overcome in 2008. The real kiss of death for any 2008 Republican ticket will be the support of George Bush. The more George Bush is seen as supporting the GOP ticket, the worst their chances in November 2008 will be.
While Hillary Clinton could unite some anti-Hillary Republicans to some extent, still the best evidence is that Clinton will win both the Democratic nomination and the 2008 electon as well. Even in some normally Red Southern states such as Arkansas, Virginia and Florida, Clinton currently leads in the polls, endangering the normal GOP base in the South.
There is little reason to expect that Republicans can win in 2008. Republican donors are better off to keep their funds in their pocket instead of losing funds on a certainly losing effort in 2008, and wait for their fortunes to change once the bad taste of George Bush and his Iraq War wears off.
Note: Wizbang Blue is now closed and our authors have moved on. Paul Hooson can now be found at Wizbang Pop!. Please come see him there!