Although the first of primary season main events are still about 13 weeks away, set for early in January, the most likely candidate to win both the Democratic nomination and general election, Hillary Clinton, could win a huge electoral vote landslide, although only winning the popular vote by 7 or 8 points over either Fred Thompson or Rudolph Giuliani.
Evidence from polling from Rasmussen reports suggests that Clinton could break through in the South and win in Arkansas and Florida, and possiby in Virgina and Missouri as well. Former Democratic stronghold West Virgina could come back into play as well. The Republican lock on the once solid South could be broken again in 2008.
Ohio is a critical state for either the Democratic or Republican nominee. Should Clinton win there, then she'll be the next president. Clinton can also expect to big up big wins in Illinois, Pennsylvania and Michigan as well.
Iowa in the MidWest should likely tip back to the Democrats in 2008. And Wisconsin and Minnesota are both near sure deals for Democrats as well in 2008.
Nevada and New Mexico should join the Western states of California, Oregon, Washington and Hawaii as Western wins for the Democrats, leaving smaller states like Utah, North and South Dakota, Montana and Wyoming as certain wins for the GOP nominee, whether it be either Thompson or Giuliani.
It makes little difference whether the Republicans choose either Giuliani or Thompson. Either one will likely lose by Clinton by seven or more points, as well as face a huge electoral vote loss as well. At this point in time based on current polls from Rasmussen, CNN, FOX and other sources, the Republicans will be hard pressed to win in 2008. Even Newt Gingrich believes that the Republicans are most likely to lose.
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