One of the central causus belli that neoconservatives embittered by the disaster in Iraq are using to justify an attack on Iran is the flow into Iraq of explosively formed projectiles (EFPs) of Iranian manufacture. Now, it appears that this flow is slowing down according to a report in the Washington Post:
Iran may be curtailing the flow into Iraq of lethal armor-piercing projectiles that have become a major killer of U.S. troops, although more time is needed to confirm the trend, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates and senior military officials said yesterday.
The number of explosively formed projectiles (EFPs) that have been detonated or found in Iraq has dropped by nearly half in recent months, from a peak of 99 in July to 53 last month, Lt. Gen. Raymond T. Odierno, the commander in charge of day-to-day military operations in Iraq, said yesterday in a videoconference with Pentagon reporters.
Iranian leaders have been promising the Shiite-dominated Iraqi government (their natural allies) that they will do whatever they can to halt the flow of weapons while disclaiming any official policy supporting it. Administration and Pentagon officials have consistently suggested that the top leadership in Iran is complicit in the flow of weapons:
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is "probably" aware of the weapons flow to Iraq, Gates said. "My guess is that the highest levels are aware," he said. "I don't know how they couldn't be," added Adm. Michael Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.
Let's consider an analogous situation for a moment. Suppose that China had decided to invade and occupy Mexico in order to eradicate that country's fictitious weapons of mass destruction, and to install Chinese-style Communism. Does anyone have any doubt that there would be a steady and consistent flow of weaponry across our southern border to the resistance groups that would spring up to fight the Chinese occupation? Does anyone doubt that these weapons would flow regardless of whether it was the policy of the US government to support the Mexican resistance groups? Is there any possibility that volunteers from the US, enraged by the Chinese occupation of our neighbor to the south, would cross the border to join the resistance and kill Chinese troops however they could? Of course, all of this would take place regardless of the official policy of our government.
Every year, we have hundreds of thousands of people cross our southern border, as well as millions of tons of drugs. It's certainly not the policy of our government to allow this movement, but If the richest and most powerful country in the world cannot control its borders how can we expect a backward country like Iran to control theirs?
The bottom line is that there will ALWAYS be Iranian weapons (and Saudi jihadists) flowing into Iraq. If we don't want our troops getting killed by such weapons we should get them out of Iraq, not bomb Iran which would ultimately only get more of our troops killed. Iran's not the problem in Iraq; it's our occupation of Iraq that's the problem. Our massive military presence in Iraq is like a virus in the middle of the Muslim world that will continue to draw weapons and fighters into that country for decades to come unless we leave.
Of course, this situation may be just exactly what the neoconservatives and warmongers want: an endless war in Iraq that can be used as the justification to start more wars and to fulfill their dynastic and colonial ambitions.
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