The Clinton campaign is reeling after five fresh losses to Barack Obama and has responded with big wholesale campaign management changes, as more and more evidence suggests that Senator Obama might just be able to wrest the Democratic nomination from Clinton despite still trailing her nationally by about 8 points in polls. A solid string of victories over the weekend in caucus states as well as Rasmussen are now giving Obama 70% odds of winning the nomination as well as solid poll leads in states like Virginia and Maryland, all suggesting that Obama may just be on the path to victory. And Clinton's campaign cash problems don't help much either.
However there are still a few Clinton advantages not to be overlooked. So far the superdelegates break heavily in her favor. And the delegates from Michigan and Florida could be given back their votes and would heavily favor Clinton as well. This old party boss structure helped to give Walter Mondale his victory over Gary Hart in 1984. And Clinton seems to do best in actual primary states compared to the mostly caucus wins of Obama.
Polls certainly suggest that Clinton would be the weakest of the candidates for the Democrats to run against John McCain in November. Obama would be the strongest candidate. But like a relic from the old smoke-filled days of party bosses, the superdelegates were formed as a form of a circuit breaker to prevent another George McGovern type fiasco loss as 1972. But if they continue to break in Clinton's favor despite the building recent support for Obama, then it could turn off the huge number of young voters, independents and African Americans the Democrats really need to put together a winning coalition to defeat McCain in November.
Can Clinton come back? The Clintons are known for bringing out the claws and nails when the chips are down. There are enough big primary states left that Clinton can still stage a major comeback. She's down, but certainly not out at this point.
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