Satire and parody work because they hit so close to home, revealing the truth in a humorous way, as was evident recently when a very popular Christmas gift last month turned out to be the Hillary Clinton nutcracker. That product fits the view of a small but significant group of male voters have of Clinton; that she's a tough-as-nails ball-buster of a woman.
In and of itself it's not really indicative of anything other than the widely-held (and true, in my view) perception that Clinton is a tough, hard-edged woman who will ride roughshod her opponents.
And my travels through the blogosphere tells me that image troubles some men, especially politically moderate and conservative men for some reason. It scares them enough to cross idealogical boundaries and vote for Hillary's opponent in an attempt to stop her. These woman-fearing cross-over Republicans and Independents aren't liberals -- in any sense -- as is betrayed by their woman-fearing incessant, obsessive Hillary-bashing, but the momentum and zeal with which they hate Hillary is skewing and tilting the Democratic primary process to a meaningful degree.
Voting Against Hillary by Voting for Obama
There are definite signs that there are single-issue nutcracker-fearing crossovers who are in favor of Barack Obama merely because they are opposed to Hillary Clinton.
They aren't aligned politically with Democratic principles, and they are out there in significant enough numbers that these self-acknowledged Republicans and Independents, who aren't Democrats or liberals or progressives but are merely misogynists, would vote for John McCain and a continuation of Bush's doctrines and policies on a heartbeat rather than vote for Hillary Clinton.
And if Obama becomes the Democratic nominee, will they stick around and vote for Obama on the general election? I think not. With Hillary Clinton out of the picture their motivation to support Obama is diminished, and with Barack faltering in the debates and flailing his way down the campaign trail towards November's general election -- failing to deliver anything more than the same platitudes and vague promises, as we all know he will -- those same swing voters who swung over and voted
for Obama against Clinton will migrate back across the line and vote for McCain.
With Clinton out of the picture this small but significant sector, lacking a true liberal and progressive agenda of their own, will go trotting back to McCain.You can bet your Hillary Clinton nutcracker on it.
The Crossovers will Cross Back
Much has been written in the last several months about the Bradley-effect, where people profess support for a black candidate then change their minds once it comes time to actually mark the ballot, and while these moderate and conservative Republicans and Independents will hold their nose and vote for Obama in order to stop Clinton and punish George Bush for his betrayal, they may well follow their political ideologies and "discover" many reasons not to support Obama in the general election.
They aren't aligned politically with Obama anyway; these are the folks who voted to keep George Bush in office in 2004 -- what does that tell you about their politics? But they are strongly motivated to keep Clinton out of office, and are willing to vote for Obama in the primary to keep her out.
Since they aren't true liberals and progressive there will be plenty of reasons for them to ultimately choose McCain over Obama. Not to worry, Barack will give them all the ammunition they need.
But will these "crossovers" crossing back be enough to cause Obama to lose the election? By itself, in my view, the answer is no.
Make no mistake -- Obama is quite capable of losing the eelction all by himself.
But while this crossover effect appears poised to help throw the nomination to Obama due to the closeness of the race between Clinton and Obama (that now appears poised to come 'down to the wire' and be decided in a hot-contested and contentious brokered convention) I think the huge Democratic voter turnout will squash the Republican efforts to hold onto the White House no matter who the Democratic nominee is - even with the crossovers crossing back. We could run O.J. Simpson as President with Britany Spears as his VP running mate and we Democrats would still prevail this November.
But, unchecked, the resulting effect of the misogynistic moderates and conservatives could be that they've decided that our President will be Barack Obama instead of Hillary Clinton, thereby greatly increasing the odds of a return to Republican power in four years, and that would be a nutcracking shame.
Note: Wizbang Blue is now closed and our authors have moved on. Paul Hooson can now be found at Wizbang Pop!. Please come see him there!