Quinnipiac University is conducting ongoing polling operations in three states considered critical to Democratic success in the November general election: Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. These are states Democrats must win in order to put a Democrat into the White House in November.
Clinton won the Florida primary, and is now showing a commanding lead over Obama in Ohio and Pennsylvania, as well as polling stronger than Obama in head-to-head match-ups with Republican John McCain in all three of these critical "must carry" states.
Democratic Primary - Clinton vs. Obama:
- Ohio: Clinton 55% - Obama 34%
- Pennsylvania: Clinton 52% - Obama 36%
November General Election Head-to-Head Match-ups:
- McCain 44% vs. Clinton 42%
- McCain 41% vs Obama 39%
- McCain 44% vs. Clinton 43%
- McCain 42% vs. Obama 40%
- Clinton 46% vs. McCain 40%
- Obama 42% vs. McCain 41%
Barack Obama's momentum may overtake Clinton in these critical "must win" states, but today Hillary Clinton is clearly the better choice as a Democratic nominee, showing strength where it counts the most -- those states that Democrats absolutely have to win in order to put a Democrat in the White House at last.
I'm sure Obama's camp is aware of the critical importance these swing states represent to the Democratic Party, but it's apparent that some members of the Obamaniac attack machine are not only ignoring "big picture" analysis, but are actually using this kind of analysis against Clinton, spinning mention of states that are "critical" and "significant" against her with the suggestion that the other states are "insignificant" to Clinton.
Mark Penn is Hillary's Chief Strategist and he is laying the groundwork for a bitter battle over superdelegates. Here's what he said trying to discount Obama's wins:
"Could we possibly have a nominee who hasn't won any of the significant states -- outside of Illinois? That raises some serious questions about Sen. Obama."
Here's another gem from Penn:
"I think for superdelegates, the quality of where the win comes from should matter in terms of making a judgment about who might be the best general election candidate."
The "quality" of "where the win comes from"??? Maybe Mark Penn could share his quality criteria for wins with us. Maybe he could tell us what makes a state insignificant.
Fine, perhaps the writer doesn't understand the importance some states play in the bigger picture, but this spinster then goes on to spin matters against Clinton in a uninspiring "old school" Republican Attack Machine manner (note - the bolded emphasis below is theirs, not mine):
#1. States that have a lot of black people are insignificant and are not quality. (sorry Alabama, DC, Georgia, Illinois, Louisiana, Maryland and South Carolina).
#2. Small states are insignificant and are not quality. (sorry Alaska, Delaware, Idaho, Maine, North Dakota and Utah).
#3. States in the middle of the country are insignificant and are not quality. (sorry Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska and North Dakota).
#4. States that have a lot of Mormons are insignificant and are not quality. (sorry Utah)
#5. States that run caucuses are insignificant and are not quality. (sorry Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Nebraska, North Dakota and Washington)
The Obama attack machine is working overtime to put their candidate on the November ticket, and let me be clear -- if Obama goes on to win in Ohio and Pennsylvania he deserves to be on that November ticket because he will have then bested Clinton in these critical "must win" states. The stronger candidate should prevail.
But what's also clear is that the top-level Obama platform planks of "hope" and "change" and a mandate to "elevate the political discourse in our country" is being supported by an underpinning structure of lies and spin from Obama supporters that is every bit as evil and wrong as the Karl Rove Republican attack machine of the past two elections.
I believe that Barack Obama can and will succeed in securing the Democratic nomination and will go on to the win in the 2008 General election, but I have to wonder just how much of Obama's success can be attributed to this kind of mis-information, and this kind of just plain bad-faith campaigning on the part of Obama supporters.
Note: Wizbang Blue is now closed and our authors have moved on. Paul Hooson can now be found at Wizbang Pop!. Please come see him there!