While President Bush sees the latest attempted bloody crackdown of the Madhi army in Basra as "a bold decision of Prime MInister Maliki to go after the illegal groups in Basra (which) shows his (Maliki's) leadership and his commitment to enforce the law in an even-handed manner," Bush said. "It also shows the progress the Iraqi security forces have made during the surge."
Most observers, even US military officials are not so sure. "While US and British military officials have been at pains to distance themselves from the push against the deadly militias," particularly as Maliki's government troops seem to be suffering some reverses both in Baghdad and Basra.
The London Times reports:
Iraq's Prime Minister was staring into the abyss today after his operation to crush militia strongholds in Basra stalled, members of his own security forces defected and district after district of his own capital fell to Shia militia gunmen.With the threat of a civil war looming in the south, Nouri al-Maliki's police chief in Basra narrowly escaped assassination in the crucial port city, while in Baghdad, the spokesman for the Iraqi side of the US military surge was kidnapped by gunmen and his house burnt to the ground.
Saboteurs also blew up one of Iraq's two main oil pipelines from Basra, cutting at least a third of the exports from the city which provides 80 per cent of government revenue, a clear sign that the militias -- who siphon significant sums off the oil smuggling trade -- would not stop at mere insurrection.
In Baghdad, the Mahdi Army took over neighbourhood after neighbourhood, some amid heavy fighting, others without firing a shot.
In New Baghdad, militiamen simply ordered the police to leave their checkpoints: the officers complied en masse and the guerrillas stepped out of the shadows to take over their checkpoints.
It's still too early to tell what is going to happen in Iraq before the smoke clears, but the following video underscores what a difficult (wish it were only difficult) but in reality, impossible position the US forces are in, in the middle of what is looking again like a buildup to another civil war scenario with the Security Forces or Maliki's troops, the Badr Brigades, the Madhi army loyal to Muqtada al-Sadr not to mention the Sunni militias and al Qaeda on the other side, and the US forces right in the center.
This video was shown Monday on Aljazeera English, on the internal divisions among the Shiite factions and why Maliki felt he had take the decision he did, to end the cease fire with the Madhi army.
Today, 'Diplomats told to take cover in Baghdad',"The State Department instructed all personnel at the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad not to leave reinforced structures due to incoming insurgent rocket fire that has killed two American government workers this week".. yet, another macabre sign 'of progress' in the war in Iraq.

Comments (3)
Interesting article.
"Most observers..." Who, actually? There are leftists who believe that 9/11 was the work of the US military. Are these people included in the "most observers"?
In matters of opinion, it is especially important to know who has the opinion, and what their background is. Phrases like "most observers..." makes it look like you are trying to hide something.
For example, one could write: "World leader doesn't like McCain" and that might look bad for the Republican nominee, until it is revealed the the "world leader" is Hugo Chavez.
1. Posted by tyree | March 28, 2008 10:53 AM
Posted on March 28, 2008 10:53
tyree..Alot of the local people are and were fed up apparently with 'the criminal elements of the Madhi army and the deadly Shiite miltitias'..I will grant you that, that is in Maliki's favor but it seems the US miitary was more cautious of the wisdom of the move. Evidently they are providing back up support now in Basra. They don't have much choice. We show see whether Maliki made the right move or it was premature. It was certainly bold.
2. Posted by Steve Crickmore | March 28, 2008 11:04 AM
Posted on March 28, 2008 11:04
I'm seeing reports that the army and police in Basra were either wiped out or they switched sides. Many of them are Mahdi Army members to begin with anyway.
Maliki took a huge gamble here and I'm not sure why. If he fails to defeat the Mahdi Army he is going to be crippled politically.
Increasingly, Iraq is coming to resemble Somalia or Lebanon. It's going to take years and lots of deaths to sort this one out.
3. Posted by Larkin
| March 28, 2008 3:42 PM
Posted on March 28, 2008 15:42