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It's Obama's Race to Lose, and he just might Lose It

Carolyn Lochead makes an argument that Obama really needs to stop Clinton in Indiana.

Indiana polls are all over the map, with the latest from Survey USA showing Clinton ahead by nine. Indiana is full of the working class whites and Catholics who fled Obama in droves in Pennsylvania. More troubling for Obama is Clinton's "steady inroads" among independents, a key element of his argument for the nomination and his claim to be able to redraw the electoral map.

Just in time for Rev. Jeremiah Wright to go stomping through Washington producing free campaign commercials for John McCain. Wright wrongly argued that if God intends Obama to be president, no one can get in the way.

The Democratic race feels like it's at a pivot point. The bloom is off Obama's rose and his rally speeches stopped intoxicating several weeks ago. He's been rebranded as an elitist McGovernite liberal, with Rev. Wright hanging on his shirt tails. He has lost control of his message. Images take on a life their own in presidential campaigns, and there is no question McCain is getting a free ride. Obama knows he has to change that dynamic, fast.

Part of Obama's strategy is to keep his mouth shut and not debate Clinton prior to the Indiana primary.

Gutsy move, Barack.

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Rating: 3.7/5 (6 votes cast)

Comments (1)

Maybe it's not a "gutsy" strategy, but it is probably his best. Lately, every time he opens his mouth, he sticks his foot in it.

Besides, for the last couple of months, his major argument has shifted from the whole "new kind of politics" messianic crusade to assuming the race is over. Naturally, if the race were truly over, it is rather puzzling he would spend so awfully much in Ohio, Texas, Pennsylvania, and now North Carolina and Indiana, to "knock Hillary out of the race." If it was "over," why waste money trying to knock out someone who "cannot possibly win" the nomination?

But avoiding debates fits well with that strategy. He can claim they have already had 21 debates, which is true - although he only started getting the really tough questions in the last one. His performances in unscripted settings have been shaky, as we might expect from a candidate so lacking in experience. He still has a commanding lead in money, so why give Hillary the free platform to continue her surge?

The Obama campaign is now reduced to threatening the loss of African-American voters to the down-ticket if he is "denied" the nomination ("being denied" is another way of saying, "if he LOSES," isn't it?).


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