UPDATE: In light of these results, as a long-time supporter of Hillary Clinton I am now calling on Senator Clinton to support Barack Oabama's candidacy for the President of the United States.
Indiana Democratic Primary
- Hillary Clinton - 638,274 - 51% - winner
- Barack Obama - 615,862 - 49%
- CNN Exit Poll Data - link
North Carolina Democratic Primary
- Hillary Clinton - 655,482 - 42%
- Barack Obama - 888,979 - 56% - winner
- CNN Exit Poll Data - link
Early Exit Poll data:
- Indiana and North Carolina (CBS):
Most voters in both states made up their minds about who to support before the last week. Seventy six percent of voters in Indiana said they made up their minds before the past week as well as 81 percent of North Carolina voters.
The economy remained the dominant issue for voters in both states, as it has in contests throughout the primary process. Sixty five percent of the voters in Indiana and 60 percent in North Carolina said the economy was the issue they are most concerned with. And over 80 percent of the voters in both states said they have been affected by the slowing economy.
In Indiana, 50 percent of the voters said Hillary Clinton would be more likely to improve the economy as president. In North Carolina, 52 percent said Barack Obama would be.
And about half of voters in each state said the ability to bring change is the quality they are most looking for in a candidate, followed by just less than a quarter who cited experience.
More voters in both states said they believed Clinton attacked her opponent unfairly. Sixty three percent in Indiana and 67 percent in North Carolina said so while 43 percent and 40 percent respectively said they felt Obama had attacked Clinton unfairly.
Supporters of both said they would be unsatisfied with the other candidate as the nominee, but more of Clinton backers in both states said so than Obama supporters. Among Clinton voters in both states, 64 percent said they would be dissatisfied with Obama as the nominee. Fifty eight percent of Obama supporters in Indiana said they would not be satisfied with Clinton as the nominee, compared to 55 percent of his voters in North Carolina.
In both states, 48 percent of all voters said that the situation involving Obama's former pastor Jeremiah Wright was something that was important in their vote.
- Heavy Turnout in Indiana IndyStar (Indianapolis):
The two precincts at Broad Ripple Family Center selected Republican Jon Elrod over Democrat Andre Carson in March's special election for U.S. Congress. But by 9 a.m., just 21 voters in one of those precincts had requested Republican ballots -- out of 168 cast.
- It's the Economy, Indiana (CNN):
As in other states, the economy is the No. 1 issue in Indiana, just-released exit polls show.
Nearly two-thirds of voters say the economy is the most pressing issue. That compares to 19 percent that say Iraq is the top issue and just 13 percent who name healthcare as the most important.
And the economy is definitely affecting their vote.
Democratic voters who say the economy has affected them, Hillary Clinton leads, 53 percent to 46 percent. Among those democrats who say the economic woes have not affected them very much, Barack Obama leads 54 percent to 46 percent.
- Crossover Voting (AP):
Indiana's Democratic primary was open to all voters. About one in five said they were independents and one in 10 identified themselves as Republican. North Carolina's Democratic primary was open only to voters registered Democratic or unaffiliated; nearly one in five voters in that contest called themselves independents.
- Demographics (AP):
The exit poll estimated blacks made up about a third of voters in the North Carolina Democratic primary, about one in seven in Indiana. More than half of voters in both states were women, which is typical for Democratic primaries. About one in seven voters in Indiana and slightly fewer in North Carolina were under age 30; about a quarter in North Carolina and somewhat fewer in Indiana were over age 65.
Amid heavy turnout, Republicans appeared to be crossing over in droves today in Marion County and suburban counties, where fewer Republican voters might impact down-ticket primary races.
Opinion polls as of yesterday:
- RealClearPolitics.com has polling averages of Obama 50%, Clinton 42% in North Carolina.
- And for Indiana, RealClearPolitics.com poll averaging shows Clinton with 49% and Obama with 44%.
Over at ABC.com today's end game is all about meeting or exceeding "expectations":
Obama's supporters suggested to Stephanopoulos that Clinton would win in Indiana by as much as eight points, and Clinton's camp hinted that Obama would win by as much as 10 points in North Carolina. If either of those margins are trimmed, the loser will likely claim some sort of upset victory.
Robert Novak on the "Bradley Effect" apparent in Pennsylvania exit polls:
When Pennsylvania exit polls came out late Tuesday afternoon showing a lead of 3.6 points for Hillary Clinton over Barack Obama, Democratic leaders who desperately wanted her to end her candidacy were not cheered. They were sure that this puny lead overstated Obama's strength, as exit polls nearly always have in diverse states with large urban populations. How is it possible, then, that Clinton, given up for dead by her party's establishment, won Pennsylvania in a 10-point landslide? The answer is the dreaded "Bradley effect."
Prominent Democrats only whisper when they compare Obama's experience, the first African American with a serious chance to be president, with what happened to Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley a quarter-century ago. In 1982, exit polls showed Bradley, who was black, ahead in the race for governor of California, but he ultimately lost to Republican George Deukmejian. Pollster John Zogby (who predicted Clinton's double-digit win Tuesday) said what practicing Democrats would not: "I think voters face to face are not willing to say they would oppose an African American candidate."
And along those same lines, Mark Halperin at TIME offers this time-saving synopsis of what you'll hear in the way of political analysis over the next 36 hours or so:
"It was the fight over the gas tax that did it."
"Look at how he did with white, working-class voters in the exit poll."
"People are going to start telling her she needs to get out of this race."
"Once again, he missed a chance to put her away."
"She's a fighter."
"He looks tired."
"Could there be a dream ticket?"
"This thing goes on and on."
"Reverend Wright really hurt him."
"Reverend Wright really had no effect."
There, we just saved you three hours to do something worthwhile with your lives ...
And folks in Idaho will have more choices in their May 27th primary:
For Democrats who still can't decide between Clinton and Obama, a third candidate has put his name on the ballot in the Idaho primary later this month. Keith Russell Judd is pro-choice, opposes No Child Left Behind, wants to end the war in Iraq, and once bowled a 300 game. There's just one catch: he's an inmate at a federal prison in Beaumont, Texas, and won't get out until 2013.
Note: Wizbang Blue is now closed and our authors have moved on. Paul Hooson can now be found at Wizbang Pop!. Please come see him there!