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Hillary Clinton`s Goodbye.. to Head the Democratic Ticket

Well, tonight, regardless of the results, looks like the inevitable will happen and Hillary Clinton will bow out of the race to be the Democratic nominee against John McCain, Senator Clinton has certainly tried her darnest and employed about every campaign strategy she could, in order to win the Democratic nomination.

The first tv debate began a year ago, in New Hampshire, June 3rd, 2007, when Hillary stressed diplomacy in the foreign policy part of the debate, and did not want to get into hypotheticals, by outlining any possible future actions with Iran ...And then ending with her April 8, 2008 unequivocal "We will totally obliterate Iran", if Iran were to launch an (assumed nuclear) attack against Israel.

The Observer has an excellent article on all the pergrinations of the Clinton candidacy, through the last 16 months culminating in Senator Clinton...

shedding her longtime image of a cultural elitist, she styled herself as a populist. Suddenly Obama was the snooty elitist, and Hillary the tribune of the working-class Americans who had long been suspicious of her. Where she was once the ultimate policy wonk, a paragon of educated expertise, she was now deriding economists who mocked her gimmicky and demagogic proposal for a gas tax holiday as out of touch with working America.

Indeed, in the last 10 weeks or so, fueled by Obama`s "bitter comments" and by the setting of many of the primaries in Appalachia--Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Kentucky, Hillary has emerged as the emblematic white, working-class, heroine. This may have seen strange from someone who was heard at a 1995 Bill Clinton startegy meeting to urge her husband not to mollify the Reagan Democrats but "screw em", her words not mine, but no one can deny her assertive, cultural identity politics with the 2008 Reagan Democrats has been very effective at the ballot box, in those traditional white, blue collar states.

Unfortunately the superdelegates, the great majority of whom hold college degrees or postgraduate degrees, are natural allies to Obama`s 'elitist' appeal, if you will, and so since the Pennsylvania primary, April 12, they have gone, as of tonight, overwhelmingly to Obama by approximately 130 to 25 to Obama.. so in this sense her new popular, demagogic vote strategy did not impress the superdelegates and this proved a insurmountable obstacle to her.

But will the national presidential result in November be similar to the one in the year of Democratic Convention in Miami,--1972, in which 66% of the delegates were postgraduates, (according to Hillary`s New York senate predecessor, Pat Moynihan) and they overwhelmingly nominated McGovern only to lose to Nixon in every state in November, but `don't blame me I 'm from Massachusettes` and in the District of Columbia? That is a big question.


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Comments (2)

Lee Ward:

Steve wrote:

...no one can deny her assertive, cultural identity politics with the 2008 Reagan Democrats has been very effective at the ballot box, in those traditional white, blue collar states.

Unfortunately the superdelegates, the great majority of whom hold college degrees or postgraduate degrees, are natural allies to Obama`s 'elitist' appeal, if you will, and so since the Pennsylvania primary, April 12, they have gone, as of tonight, overwhelmingly to Obama by approximately 130 to 25 to Obama.. so in this sense her new popular, demagogic vote strategy did not impress the superdelegates and this proved a insurmountable obstacle to her.

And unfortunately the lack of support among the Reagan Democrats for Obama may be the insurmountable obstacle for putting a Democrat in the White House. The last time I checked, having the support of superdelegates will have zero effect on winning the White House going forward, but the absence of the moderate Democrats could certainly lose it for Obama.

As is evident from the actions of Obama and Clinton, Barack focused on winning the nomination while Hillary focused on assembling the backing and winning the swing states needed to secure the November election. Did Barack win the battle only to lose the war? We'll see.

But nonetheless we've made history. Hopefully we can extend that to the November election of Obama as well. I disagree with the Clinton supporters suggesting that Clinton should be VP, and I say that provided Barack and his team have a realistic and viable means to win back the Reagan Democrats. I truly don't believe that we can win in November without them, and the elitism of Obama and some of his supporters has greatly damaged his chances up to this point. If there had been a little more respect paid to the Clinton side of the equation Obama wouldn't need Clinton as VP. Now he -- at a minimum -- needs her to throw her support behind him, which I suspect she'll do with the same enthusiasm she showed in her own candidacy.

I'd say if the election were to be held tomorrow Obama would lose to McCain because enough pissed off moderate women voters would swing for McCain to throw the election his way. Hopefully that'll change in the next few weeks. Obama needs to gather all Democrats behind him now.

The press is clearly behind Obama, however, so let's hope they remember to register to vote.

Steve Crickmore:

Lee, Obama must be listening because he is starting out by making a fence mending trip to `Appalachia` in western Virginia, tomorrow. Obama`s bitter comment about Pennsylvania was definitely a mistake, but not really any different in tone than ex-Arkansas first lady Hillary`s disbelief that Iowa could be tied with Mississippi, for having the fewest women state representatives (zero), or Cheney`s attempt at a joke at the expense of West Virginia on incest earlier this week, or McCain`s comment last fall, that he didn`t care if "he was 50th" in the Iowa primary.

Most politicians are a touch elitist and I think Obama less than most because he`s younger than the other major candidates, and maybe a little more ethnic sensitive because of his upbringing and heritage.

McCain has been known as `McNasty` every since he was a young man and I`m sure 153 days will reveal all sides of his nature. He loves to make risky or risque jokes, which may be too revealing about his real views and provide additional gaffes to the ones he seems to make almost daily by not being 'with it'' .

I anticipate McCain will make the same mistakes of hubris that Hillary made for the first half of her campaign or Bush and his team did much more seriously in Iraq. I think already McCain underestimates Obama and his intellect, and the 'senior' senator from Arizona has failed to come to terms with how America has changed since the failure of the Iraq war. Look for an predicted increase or spike in Iraqi violence (unfortunately) before the fall Iraq provincial elections, which will further undermine the ruling Republican conventional opinion, including McCain`s, that our involvement has been worthwhile.


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Publisher: Kevin Aylward

Editors: Lee Ward, Larkin, Paul S Hooson, and Steve Crickmore

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