Updated and Bumped again: It's official - Obama has taken a commanding four-point lead - 48%-44% - link. Hooyah! The reversal came in at 10 days, within the range I predicted.
Updated and bumped September 17, 2008: Obama has moved into the lead in the Gallup Daily 3 day tracking poll 47% Obama versus 45% for McCain, an early indicator that Obama is overtaking McCain for the lead, erasing the McCain/Palin post-convention bounce.
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published September 16, 2008
The bounce John McCain received in national opinion polls following his party's convention and the selection of Sarah Palin to the GOP presidential ticket appears to have evaporated, a new CNN poll of polls suggests.
In the latest CNN survey of several recent national polls, Obama and McCain are locked in a dead heat at 45 percent each with 10 percent who remain undecided with 50 days remaining until Election Day.
One week ago I predicted the McCain/Palin surge would last 7-10 days, and then swing in Obama's favor. After 7 days they've pulled even, and in the next three days, if my prediction was correct, will have Obama taking the lead again.
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