Senator Arlen Specter's recent party switch is having a residual effect of eliminating the chances of a conservative taking over Specter's seat in the 2010 election. It's also eliminates the possibility of a progressive liberal snatching the seat as well.
Specter was facing a difficult challenge in the Republican primary up against conservative Pat Toomey. Monday's Quinnipiac poll has Toomey with a 74 percent to 18 percent over Specter. If Specter had remained a Republican he'd have surely lost in the primary to Toomey, assuming things remained unchanged.
But Specter made a bold move, one that assures that now he is a Dem0ocrat he currently is in the position to soundly defeat Toomey in the election.
A Quinnipiac University poll found Specter would defeat a conservative Republican who is in the race, Pat Toomey, if the election were held today by 53 percent to 33 percent.
This forces Toomey out of the running, and will cause the GOP to run a moderate instead of a conservative if they expect to have a chance at winning this election. Specter's party switch reduces the chance for conservative Toomey to win this seat.
If Specter had stayed in the GOP a much more liberal Democrat could have run against him and quite possibly have won.... so the party switch, now that Specter had the support of the Obama administration, effectively eliminates the possibility of a progressive gaining that senate seat.
Both conservatives and progressives are shut out under this new scenario.
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